With the business end of the campaign fast approaching, the Supercomputer has refreshed its projected final table for the 2025/26 Premier League season. Many expected Manchester City to dominate once again last year, but it was Liverpool — guided by new boss Arne Slot — who stormed to a 20th league title and reclaimed their status as England’s most decorated club.
Arsenal finishing second for a third straight season surprised few, while Pep Guardiola’s City rallied late to secure third. Nottingham Forest’s unexpected push for Europe was another headline story, whereas Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United endured their worst league finishes of the Premier League era.
Relegation Battle
Recent seasons have seen all three promoted sides immediately relegated, but that pattern may finally end. The Supercomputer predicts both Sunderland and Leeds United will survive. However, Burnley — under Scott Parker — are tipped to drop straight back into the Championship after a difficult run of form.
West Ham United are also projected to suffer relegation despite signs of improvement at the London Stadium. Meanwhile, Wolverhampton Wanderers, who struggled badly early on, are forecast to finish bottom despite recent progress under Rob Edwards.
Leeds are expected to finish 15th, narrowly avoiding trouble, with Forest just above the drop after a turbulent season that included the dismissal of Sean Dyche.
At Spurs, optimism following Europa League success under Ange Postecoglou has faded. Thomas Frank’s short spell in charge ended quickly, and early defeats under Igor Tudor have sparked fresh relegation fears.
Projected Bottom Six: 15. Leeds United – 44 pts
16. Tottenham Hotspur – 42 pts
17. Nottingham Forest – 38 pts
18. West Ham United – 35 pts
19. Burnley – 27 pts
20. Wolverhampton Wanderers – 22 pts
Mid-Table Outlook
Brighton & Hove Albion are quietly heading toward a solid mid-table finish under Fabian Hurzeler.
Crystal Palace, fresh off their first major trophy and Community Shield success, have endured instability after selling captain Marc Guehi and confirming Oliver Glasner’s upcoming departure.
Newcastle United have produced flashes of brilliance — including big wins over City — but inconsistency leaves them projected to finish 12th.
Projected Positions 11–14: 11. Brighton – 51 pts
12. Newcastle United – 50 pts
13. Sunderland – 48 pts
14. Crystal Palace – 46 pts
Top Half Race
Fulham are predicted to secure eighth after important victories in recent weeks.
Everton, revitalised by new ownership and signings such as Jack Grealish, are forecast to finish ninth under David Moyes.
Brentford have impressed despite losing key figures including Bryan Mbeumo, Yoane Wissa and manager Thomas Frank. Under Keith Andrews, they are expected to finish seventh.
Liverpool, despite high-profile additions such as Alexander Isak and Florian Wirtz, have found life tougher this term but are still predicted to secure a top-five finish.
Projected Positions 5–10: 5. Liverpool – 65 pts
6. Chelsea – 60 pts
7. Brentford – 57 pts
8. Fulham – 53 pts
9. Everton – 52 pts
10. Bournemouth – 52 pts
Top Four & Title Race
A Champions League return looked improbable for Manchester United when Ruben Amorim departed in January, but Michael Carrick has overseen a remarkable revival, putting the Red Devils on course for fourth.
Aston Villa have faltered after early title talk and are now projected to finish third.
City are closing in but still trail Arsenal in the model’s forecast. If Mikel Arteta’s side hold their nerve, they could end a two-decade wait for the title and finally get over the line.
Projected Top Four:
Arsenal – 82 pts
Manchester City – 77 pts
Aston Villa – 67 pts
Manchester United – 65 pts
If the projections prove accurate, Arsenal’s triumph could mark the beginning of a new era at the top of English football.
